Ep 2. Tracking Bitcoin Cycles

In this episode Imran Lakha, founder of Options Insight, talks to Kuda Chinhara, an experienced options trader and technical analysis expert.

 

Since last speaking to Kuda about his approach to reading the charts through analysing cycles, identifying market regimes and then using Fibonacci confluence to find inflection levels, Kuda has been looking more closely at the price history of Bitcoin.

 

They discuss the spectral analysis that Kuda uses to try to find dominant cycles in the momentum oscillator of the Bitcoin time series. This quantitative approach, whilst not necessarily statistically significant due to the small sample size (only 12 years of history) has led to some interesting observations about the cyclical nature of Bitcoin.  When people typically discuss bitcoin cycles they talk about the 4 year halving cycle which is an inherent part of it’s code and how it’s mined into existence, but Kuda’s work shows something quite different.

 

Finally, they speculate on what a repeat of this cycle means for the potential price swings in Bitcoin over the coming year and the type of scenarios that crypto investors should be preparing themselves for in what could be an epic year with extreme volatility.

 

To view the charts discussed in this podcast please visit:

https://kudakwashe-chinhara.medium.com

 

Or watch the video cast on my YouTube Channel:

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUH8lZPntiP1BclATjVBKYQ

 

 

To learn more about OPTIONS INSIGHT please visit www.options-insight.com or email enquiries@options-insight.com

 

 

NONE OF THE MATERIAL IN THIS PODCAST SHOULD BE CONSIDERED AS INVESTMENT ADVISE, IT IS FOR INFORMATIONAL AND ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY.  ALWAYS CONSULT A REGISTERED INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL BEFORE MAKING INVESTMENT DECISIONS. THE VIEWS AND OPINIONS EXPRESSED ON TRADER CHATS ARE THOSE OF THE PARTICIPANTS AND DO NOT NECESSARILY REFLECT THOSE OF THE HOST.  OPTIONS INSIGHT OR IMRAN LAKHA SHALL NOT BE LIABLE FROM LOSSES RESULTING FROM INVESTMENT DECISIONS BASED ON INFORMATION OR VIEWPOINTS PRESENTED ON TRADER CHATS.